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Topic: Healthy Statistics
Message: Posted by: Burt Yaroch (Nov 13, 2001 08:50AM)
Yeterdays American Airlines tragedy is a terrible loss. I, along with the magic community, offer my condolences to everyone affected by this accident. :cry:

But to the hundreds of fearful persons who have cancelled holiday travel plans because they are now afraid to fly I offer the following statistics:


Dog Bites 20

Lightning Strikes 95

Food Allergies 125

Commercial Air *130*

Falling in Bathtub 300

Bicycle 795

Commercial Rail 1096

Pedestrian Accident 5500

Motor Vehicles 50,000

And,of course, the risk goes up with exposure, which means those bigger numbers can start to make for some pretty small odds. For example, the fatality rate is about 1.7 fatalities per 100,000,000 automobile miles (in 1994-1998), or about 1 fatality per 60,000,000 miles. Another way of looking at this is that if a person drove about 600,000 miles in their lifetime (12,500 miles per year for 50 years), there is about 1 in 100 chance that person will die as a result of an automobile accident during their lifetime. As compared to the odds of dying in a commercial airline crash: 1 in 1,568,000 (deaths increasing 0.7 per 100 million aircraft miles).

Just thought I would assist with a few numbers so that we might put things into perspective for those intent on making fear and paranoia their new way of life.


(Data taken from CDC and HAZMAT websites.)
Message: Posted by: Steve Brooks (Nov 13, 2001 10:49AM)
Very good points. My stepfather was a pilot, and I've always felt safer in a plane than in a car. :wavey:
Message: Posted by: AsL (Feb 19, 2005 06:30PM)
I feel safe in both but I feel safer in a car because you don't have to worry about other crazy driver's.