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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts 
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In response to another post, just for fun I thought it would be interesting to post sports picks against the spread/juice and keep track of a running total of a hypothetical bankroll. So I'll start with an imaginary ten grand, and start by putting $100 on next Saturday's fight with Mikkel Kessler at +175 (7-4 odds against). For entertainment purposes only.
Balance: $9,900 New Results: None Pending: $100
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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tommy Eternal Order Devil's Island 16543 Posts
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Lobo
at +175 ? What does that mean, decimal odds? And how do we know he his 7/4. You can't choose your own odds can you? What bookie is offering those odds?
If there is a single truth about Magic, it is that nothing on earth so efficiently evades it.
Tommy |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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+175 means the return is $175 for each $100 wagered (which in turn translates to 7-4). That's the current line at betUS
(http://www.betus.com/sportsbook/boxing-boxing-fight_lines-lines.aspx) It's probably not the best price available on Ward, but since it's all for fun, I didn't do any line shopping.
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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tommy Eternal Order Devil's Island 16543 Posts
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Cool thanks. Good luck.
If there is a single truth about Magic, it is that nothing on earth so efficiently evades it.
Tommy |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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Thanks! I don't think he's he lock (or even a probable winner)...just a good price. Like if someone offered you 3-1 against drawing a face card from a shuffled deck. Against a *fairly* shuffled deck, that is!
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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College Basketball: TCU+12 vs. Arizona State tonight. Risk 110 to win 100. The line is available at BetUS (unless otherwise specified, any pointspread/odds/etc. I post will be available at BetUS at the time of my post).
Balance: $9790 New Results: None Pending: $210
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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College Basketball: Illinois -20 vs. Northern Illinois (tonight). $110 for $100.
Balance: $9680 New Results: None Pending: $320
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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One easy win (12-point underdog TCU lost by only 3), and one close loss (20-point favorite Illinois won by...19. Doh!)
Balance: $9890 New Results: 1-1 $110 for $100 bets; Net: -$10 Pending: $100
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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tommy Eternal Order Devil's Island 16543 Posts
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System going well. Send more money!
If there is a single truth about Magic, it is that nothing on earth so efficiently evades it.
Tommy |
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splice Inner circle Canada 1246 Posts
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Well, if anything, it's not a bad idea to try, right? If you make it, maybe aces will reconsider. If you don't, it does not prove it can't be done.
Yay for freerolls. |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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Quote:
On 2009-11-18 09:35, splice wrote: lol Yay for freerolls, indeed! I think the interpretation will be, if I don't, it proves it can't be done; if I do, it's a lucky streak. btw Tommy...who said anything about a "system"? Anyway...rebuy not required just yet...I'll wait until I'm down more than 0.1%
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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Ok...let's get some action for the fans! (all games today/tonight)
College Football: Central Michigan -15 ($165 for $150) College Basketball: Virginia Commonwealth -6.5 ($110 for $100) Cornell -3 ($110 for $100) Princeton -3.5 ($110 for $100) Nevada +6.5 ($110 for $100) Balance: $9285 New Results: None Pending: $705
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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tommy Eternal Order Devil's Island 16543 Posts
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There are some free tipster competitions over here where you can win money and some where one pays a small fee to enter.
If there is a single truth about Magic, it is that nothing on earth so efficiently evades it.
Tommy |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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They do those in Vegas, too...great publicity for the books. The more that gets bet, the bigger that house cut!
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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acesover Special user I believe I have 821 Posts
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Lobo,
The best way to try this simulation would be to keep wageriing until you have wagered a total of $10,000 that is your total stake. Then see what your results are. By that I mean just keep track of your actual wagers until they total $10,000 and then check and see what your net win or loss is. The other way is to stop when you reach a a goal. Lets say you want to win $10,000 with your $10,000. So you stop when your total stash is $20,000 or $0. But to be fair and let the sysem work none of your bets should be more than $250 with a $10,000 stake. I hope I am making myself clear on this. Other wise you could wager the $10,000 on one event and win it or lose sit and say see I won or see I lost and it would not prove or disprove anything. The whole concept of a book is the math. The longer you wager (more wagers you make) the more the math comes into play and eats you up.
If I were to agree with you. Then we would both be wrong. As of Apr 5, 2015 10:26 pm I have 880 posts. Used to have over 1,000
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tommy Eternal Order Devil's Island 16543 Posts
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Let him just carry on. He will be on tilt before the end of week.
If there is a single truth about Magic, it is that nothing on earth so efficiently evades it.
Tommy |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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Quote:
On 2009-11-18 22:26, acesover wrote: I plan to stay in the $100 to $200 range. I agree that disproportionately large bets would make the whole things kind of silly. I plan to be posting enough plays so that it'll go over $10,000 in total action relatively quickly, at 1-2% per play. It's already been close to $1,000, and I'll have quite a bit of plays when the weekend rolls around (football time). But I can keep a running total of how much has been put into action, as well.
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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Central Michigan 35, Ball St. 3 (W)
Western Michigan 83, Virginia Commonwealth 67 (L) Cornell 74, Mass. 61 (W) Princeton 61, Manhattan 54 (W) UNLV 88, Nevada 75 (L) Balance: $10,020 New Results: 3-2 (+$130) Pending: $100 Total placed in action: $925 Net results on graded plays: +$120
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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kcg5 Inner circle who wants four fried chickens and a coke 1868 Posts
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Ohio state will win. that's my prediction
Nobody expects the spanish inquisition!!!!!
"History will be kind to me, as I intend to write it"- Sir Winston Churchill |
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LobowolfXXX Inner circle La Famiglia 1196 Posts
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I realize I didn't specify on the original (boxing) bet, that's $100 on Andre Ward (who is fighting AGAINST Mikkel Kessler on Saturday).
"Torture doesn't work" lol
Guess they forgot to tell Bill Buckley. "...as we reason and love, we are able to hope. And hope enables us to resist those things that would enslave us." |
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| The Magic Cafe Forum Index » » The Gambling Spot » » The Acesover Sports Betting Challenge (0 Likes) | ||||||||||
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Posted: Nov 16, 2009 05:37 pm 
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